Kalshi + Polymarket contracts on macro, elections, geopolitics.
Kalshi and Polymarket contracts on macro, elections and geopolitics — a price on an outcome, which is often the cleanest read available on an event with no listed instrument.
Reach for itEvents that will move markets but have no direct hedge.
“The prediction markets panel gathers event contracts on macro, elections and geopolitics, each price reading as a probability.”
Kalshi + Polymarket contracts on macro, elections, geopolitics.
Open itAdd Panel ▸ Macro ▸ Catalysts & Securities ▸ Prediction Markets
Live odds aggregated across Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US) and Polymarket (offshore crypto-collateralised). Same contracts often differ in price by 1-5pp across venues — basis-trade arb opportunity when liquidity allows.
Politics / Macro / Crypto / Sports / Geopolitics. Macro contracts (Fed cut probability, recession-year, inflation prints) often diverge from CME FedWatch — when they do, fixed-income flows are about to reprice.
Click a contract row for a 7-day odds time series. Sharp gap-ups + sustained level changes = informed flow entered. Slow grind = speculative re-pricing.
Type FFIP and compare implied path. When prediction markets price MORE cuts than CME FedWatch, the front-end is about to bid; when LESS, hawkish repricing risk.
