Kalshi + Polymarket contracts on macro, elections, geopolitics.
“The prediction markets panel gathers event contracts on macro, elections and geopolitics, each price reading as a probability.”
Kalshi + Polymarket contracts on macro, elections, geopolitics.
Live odds aggregated across Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US) and Polymarket (offshore crypto-collateralised). Same contracts often differ in price by 1-5pp across venues — basis-trade arb opportunity when liquidity allows.
Politics / Macro / Crypto / Sports / Geopolitics. Macro contracts (Fed cut probability, recession-year, inflation prints) often diverge from CME FedWatch — when they do, fixed-income flows are about to reprice.
Click a contract row for a 7-day odds time series. Sharp gap-ups + sustained level changes = informed flow entered. Slow grind = speculative re-pricing.
Type FFIP and compare implied path. When prediction markets price MORE cuts than CME FedWatch, the front-end is about to bid; when LESS, hawkish repricing risk.
FFIP