The risk-on/risk-off board: a vol-curve hero with positioning, rates + credit left, breadth + sector + FX leadership right, and stress + recession composite gauges below — read the regime at a glance
The risk-on/risk-off board: a vol-curve hero with positioning, rates + credit left, breadth + sector + FX leadership right, and stress + recession composite gauges below — read the regime at a glance
Use it when: Start of the week, or any morning the tape has changed character and you want to know whether it is risk-on before you size anything.
This is the desk that answers whether to be long index futures at all, and whether ES or NQ is the better way to express it.
Defensives taking the top of the one-month ranking while credit widens is the combination that shows up before ES breaks, not after. The regime chip is the fastest version of that read.
NQ is the high-beta expression of risk-on. When cyclicals lead and technology leads them, NQ outruns ES - and it hands it back faster when the regime turns.
Crude is a risk asset with its own supply story bolted on. Risk-off drags it, but an inventory surprise overrides the macro tape completely, so treat this as backdrop for CL rather than signal.
show me the risk monitor.add <name> away.The tell: Cyclicals leading with the curve in contango is a healthy tape. Defensives leading with the front month bid is the pair you actually care about — it usually shows up before the index does.
7 panels, read straight from the preset definition in the desktop build:
Plus 6 dense sheets — wide tables that carry a whole complex in one upstream call rather than a wall of single-series tiles:
These desks assume the theory. If any of it is unfamiliar, the background reading is on the learn side: